← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BikesAreTheBikes | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 26% (610–1728, n=2338) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $60K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #541 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (47 of 82 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Weather −5 pts, n=16 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 1358 at avg 35¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 57% (won 19% of 774) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 66% of 157) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 85% of 151) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 97% of 276) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BikesAreTheBikes | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $130 | Yes $14K | — | — |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $102 | — | — | Yes $68 |