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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BikesarethebestBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (572–710, n=1282)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #48PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position77% (27 of 35 open)62% (8 of 13 open)54% (53 of 98 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBikesarethebestBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $837Ravens $4Jaguars $2.4K
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $1.1KRavens $510Jaguars $180
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $292K—Jaguars $7.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $194K—Jaguars $1.5K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $434
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $888
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $231
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $640Over $1.1K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $242
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $698Under $469
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $599Over $458
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $92K—Ravens $5.4K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $24KFlorida Atlantic $14K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $1.7K—Warriors $520
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $293—Ravens $1.2K