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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BillBenter2026 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (6153–3370, n=9523) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $42K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (12 of 16 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (16 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA ±0 pts, n=156 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 4544 at avg 72¢, ROI +15% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 23% of 204) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 45% of 399) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 84% of 1142) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 99% of 2799) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BillBenter2026 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | — | No $912 |
| Senators vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Senators | Senators $102 | — | — | Ducks $657 |
| Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8 | — | — | Yes $1 |
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $1.6K | Commanders $1.0M | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $161K | — | Commanders $433 |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | — | Commanders $125 |
| Taipei: Yanki Erel vs Masamichi Imamura same side · consensus Yanki Erel | Yanki Erel $63 | — | — | Yanki Erel $12K |