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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankBurkilota1Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)58% (795–571, n=1366)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$147K$1.4M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #470PM monthly #14PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus88% (30 of 34 open)43% (10 of 23 open)65% (108 of 166 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +9 pts n=153, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +9 pts n=24, ROI +1%
  • NBA +8 pts n=28, ROI +11%
Weakest topic—Crypto −1 pts, n=189NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%20% of 610 at avg 16¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)89% (won 15% of 540)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)11% (won 61% of 67)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)0% (won 50% of 2)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)0% (won 100% of 1)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankBurkilota1Flaznorpjoseph00677
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $425KYes $26——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $306KNo $40——
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
—Woking FC $194Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K—
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $15K—Bills $77—
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2Yes $659—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1Yes $3—