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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankBurkilota1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)62% (671–416, n=1087)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$145K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #257PM monthly #47PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus85% (23 of 27 open)28% (11 of 40 open)no open consensus position52% (17 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +9 pts n=151, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +8 pts n=25, ROI +1%
  • NBA +8 pts n=28, ROI +11%
Weakest topic—Crypto −2 pts, n=189——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%20% of 609 at avg 16¢, ROI +8%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)89% (won 15% of 540)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)11% (won 61% of 67)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)0% (won 50% of 2)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)0%5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankBurkilota1primmRN1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $407KYes $42——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $2——
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $3.5K——Warriors $510