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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCosplayGaoJinprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (80–105, n=185)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$167K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #778PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)0% (0 of 1 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +14 pts n=41, ROI +25%
  • NBA +4 pts n=100, ROI +17%
  • Crypto +11 pts n=14, ROI −5%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=14—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%46% of 175 at avg 41¢, ROI +15%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)22% (won 21% of 38)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)39% (won 53% of 68)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)37% (won 52% of 64)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)3% (won 80% of 5)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCosplayGaoJinprimm
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $2.4K—Texans $2.7K