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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | CosplayGaoJin | Flaznorp | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (80–105, n=185) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $167K | $4.1M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #778 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (29 of 34 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 69% (102 of 148 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=14 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 46% of 175 at avg 41¢, ROI +15% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 22% (won 21% of 38) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 39% (won 53% of 68) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 37% (won 52% of 64) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 3% (won 80% of 5) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | CosplayGaoJin | Flaznorp | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | T1 $21K | T1 $5 | — |