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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDavidShekelRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)68% (373–174, n=547)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$169K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #372PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)75% (3 of 4 open)60% (135 of 226 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • F1 +21 pts n=92, ROI −12%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=256, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=17, ROI +36%
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=17—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%77% of 543 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)24% (won 19% of 129)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 74% of 31)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 90% of 86)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)55% (won 99% of 297)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDavidShekelRN1
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $31K—Pelicans $126
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19K—Pelicans $121
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $346—Grizzlies $118
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $66—Hawks $128