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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankErick2307ferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)45% (144–175, n=319)35% (3646–6660, n=10306)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$41K$2.9M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #895PM monthly #419PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus85% (28 of 33 open)no open consensus position74% (25 of 34 open)52% (33 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%42% of 291 at avg 40¢, ROI +1%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)52% (won 4% of 150)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)7% (won 37% of 19)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)9% (won 72% of 25)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 94% of 97)—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankErick2307ferrariChampions2026RN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $298K—Jaguars $198KJaguars $4.0K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $287—Ravens $655Ravens $688
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
——James Madison $23KSouthern Miss $26
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
——Florida Atlantic $8.7KUTSA $559
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
——James Madison $8.6KSouthern Miss $32
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $2.8K——Jaguars $151
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.4K——Jaguars $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.6K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2K—Under $79—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Under $485—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3Under $313
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $192K—Ravens $1.2K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $89K—Ravens $50—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
——Thiago Seyboth Wild $15KThiago Seyboth Wild $20K
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
——James Kent Trotter $13KJames Kent Trotter $10K
Bruins vs. Penguins
same side · consensus Penguins
——Penguins $11KPenguins $72
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
same side · consensus Southern Miss
——Southern Miss $949Southern Miss $412
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $19Over $149