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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFaroeseNationalistRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)49% (599–625, n=1224)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$7.6M-$3.3K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #979PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)33% (2 of 6 open)58% (53 of 91 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—MLB −3 pts, n=109—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%49% of 1192 at avg 47¢, ROI −1%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 24% of 144)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)42% (won 45% of 498)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)41% (won 57% of 488)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 74% of 62)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFaroeseNationalistRN1
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $755No $69
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $173No $513
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.2KYes $1.6K