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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpFuture-Tarot-Trader
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)73% (268–97, n=365)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$326K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21was PM monthly #607
Sides with the consensus55% (12 of 22 open)64% (236 of 370 open)100% (4 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%90% of 410 at avg 74¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)11% (won 18% of 45)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)3% (won 86% of 14)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)13% (won 96% of 54)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)72% (won 100% of 297)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpFuture-Tarot-Trader
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $63KYes $77K—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $300KNo $43K—