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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpFuture-Tarot-TraderRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)73% (270–98, n=368)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$326K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #16was PM monthly #607PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)65% (162 of 248 open)100% (4 of 4 open)61% (108 of 176 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%90% of 410 at avg 74¢, ROI +12%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)11% (won 18% of 45)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)3% (won 86% of 14)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)13% (won 96% of 54)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)72% (won 100% of 297)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpFuture-Tarot-TraderRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.1K—Under $53
Sportivo Ameliano vs. Club Guarani Asuncion: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.9K—Over $84
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
—Maxwell McKennon $823—Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.4K—Under $84
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.0K—Over $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713—Over $268
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213—No $677
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $220—Hawks $426
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $304—Thunder $273
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $215—Grizzlies $118
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123—Over $86
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $31—Wizards $89
Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate
—Carlos Maria Zarate $26—Lucio Ratti $18
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Marcos Giron
—Marcos Giron $6.1K—Marcos Giron $17K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $5.6K—Arthur Fils $11K
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.9K—No $4.5K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K—Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11K—Under $988
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $7.1KCeltics $215——
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.5K—Yes $4.5K
Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $2.6K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt
same side · consensus Max Wiskandt
—Hiroki Sakagawa $2.2K—Hiroki Sakagawa $1.4K
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $479—Bianca Andreescu $2.3K
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $263—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.4K
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $724
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $257
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
—Filip Jeff Planinsek $26—Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $776—76ers $240
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $931—Over $52
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $720—Over $165
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $697—Over $132
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $144—Over $664
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 0 - 0 Grêmio FBPA?
same side · consensus No
—No $428—No $352
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Solana Sierra $286—Solana Sierra $476
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720—Under $20
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $383—Raptors $246
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $353—Over $102
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $40—Under $371