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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpJa888primm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)85% (33–6, n=39)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M-$4.6K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #15PM monthly #430PM monthly #44
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)73% (100 of 137 open)100% (2 of 2 open)40% (2 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%80% of 35 at avg 79¢, ROI +9%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 50% of 2)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)17% (won 67% of 6)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)71% (won 92% of 25)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpJa888primm
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.3K——Over $16K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12K——Bears $5.8K