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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpMulticoloured-Serfndb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)47% (260–294, n=554)65% (896–472, n=1368)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M-$139K$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #22PM monthly #16PM monthly #100
Sides with the consensus54% (15 of 28 open)77% (117 of 151 open)78% (7 of 9 open)76% (31 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)0% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)47% (won 100% of 100)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)47% (won 100% of 101)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)6% (won 100% of 13)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpMulticoloured-Serfndb1
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Heat $14KClippers $4—
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KOver $6.4K—
Heat vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Heat
—Clippers $8.6KClippers $55K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $135No $35K—
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KUnder $4.3K—
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $103Clippers $4.7K—