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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpSharkbettingCom
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)39% (170–268, n=438)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$107K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #884 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)68% (160 of 235 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NFL +35 pts n=28, ROI +17%
  • Soccer +20 pts n=137, ROI +19%
  • NBA +16 pts n=17, ROI +17%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Elections −7 pts, n=32
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%48% of 458 at avg 38¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)35% (won 25% of 161)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)40% (won 50% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)18% (won 68% of 81)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)8% (won 97% of 35)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpSharkbettingCom
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $236Over $29