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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1SharkbettingCom
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13382–10751, n=24133)48% (19707–21460, n=41167)41% (267–387, n=654)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$1.4M$14.9M$107K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #914 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)67% (81 of 121 open)53% (16 of 30 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NFL +36 pts n=31, ROI +17%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=142, ROI +18%
  • NBA +16 pts n=17, ROI +17%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Elections −7 pts, n=32
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%48% of 491 at avg 38¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)35% (won 25% of 170)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)40% (won 49% of 197)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)17% (won 68% of 85)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)8% (won 97% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1SharkbettingCom
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $2.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $4.4KUgo Humbert $17K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Borna Gojo
—Tomas Machac $2.9KTomas Machac $16K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $13KNo $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Hersonissos 3: Johannus Monday vs Georgii Kravchenko
same side · consensus Georgii Kravchenko
—Georgii Kravchenko $11Georgii Kravchenko $121—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $29—