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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 52% (6275–5714, n=11989) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 52% (301–278, n=579) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $3.4M | $5.6M | -$63K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (83 of 110 open) | 73% (190 of 260 open) | no open consensus position | 18% (2 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=75 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 53% of 599 at avg 52¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 21% (won 14% of 123) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 23% (won 48% of 136) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 32% (won 59% of 193) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 25% (won 81% of 147) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $11K | — | Yes $13K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.3K | — | — | No $18K |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $4.7K | — | No $4.2K |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $737 | — | — | Yes $5.6K |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.3K | — | No $337 |