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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677ubetteruuuu
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)45% (10–12, n=22)52% (189–175, n=364)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$5.3M$127K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #268
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)78% (105 of 134 open)no open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NFL +35 pts n=47, ROI +26%
  • NBA +9 pts n=98, ROI +9%
  • Esports +7 pts n=109, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Soccer −8 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%56% of 326 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)12% (won 13% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 55% of 133)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)40% (won 64% of 130)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 88% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677ubetteruuuu
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus PARIVISION
—Natus Vincere $146—PARIVISION $3.4K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18K——Yes $363
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3K——Yes $90