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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | justbusiness1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 53% (266–233, n=499) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.1M | -$143K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #16 | was PM monthly #760 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 72% (83 of 115 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (11 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | Politics −8 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 88% of 354 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 4% (won 21% of 14) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 31% (won 87% of 108) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 57% (won 92% of 203) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 8% (won 93% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | justbusiness1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.3K | — | — | Over $16K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $96 | — | — | Buccaneers $407 |