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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1RadioCCOD
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)64% (1097–630, n=1727)39% (127–195, n=322)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$4.8M$37K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #98PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)67% (133 of 200 open)73% (113 of 154 open)82% (278 of 338 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147Soccer −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%41% of 258 at avg 20¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)74% (won 23% of 190)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)10% (won 81% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)12% (won 94% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)4% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1RadioCCOD
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $12KNo $7.4K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $357Yes $2
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K—No $337K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $292K—Yes $11K—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $76K——Yes $1.3K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $34KNo $18K—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $28No $115—