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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorppagliacci4
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)96% (1650–75, n=1725)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$11K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #959
Sides with the consensus76% (41 of 54 open)72% (156 of 217 open)96% (23 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorppagliacci4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $15KNo $23K—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $192KNo $76K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $124KColts $63—
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.5KNo $2.0K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.9KYes $1.9K