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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorppagliacci4primm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)96% (1650–75, n=1725)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$11K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #959PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus73% (43 of 59 open)74% (162 of 220 open)96% (24 of 25 open)54% (21 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)—5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)—41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)—49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)—5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorppagliacci4primm
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $35KColts $63—Colts $5.7K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $226K——Eagles $5.6K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208K——Over $6.8K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K——Eagles $131
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $63KNo $1.2K——
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $15KNo $23K——
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K——Eagles $3.4K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $2.2K76ers $797——
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $235KNo $76K——
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $101K——Colts $94
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.4K—Chiefs $48K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $1.8KLions $47K
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.5KNo $2.0K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.9KYes $1.9K—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $1.5KBulls $215——
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320—Commanders $285