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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmwinner877
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)94% (923–64, n=987)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$3.6M$147K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #47PM monthly #427
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)70% (169 of 240 open)71% (12 of 17 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Other Sports −10 pts, n=16
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%95% of 935 at avg 96¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)1% (won 14% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)1% (won 29% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)1% (won 78% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)98% (won 97% of 912)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpprimmwinner877
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2KMiddle Tennessee $4.9K—