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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFund01HomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)61% (17–11, n=28)100% (1–0, n=1)54% (170–143, n=313)
Consensus PnL$786K$4.4K$186K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #673PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)0% (0 of 1 open)76% (32 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%—100% of 149 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)—2% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)—43% (won 100% of 64)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)—42% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)—13% (won 100% of 20)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFund01HomeRunHazard
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $6.3KOver $18K
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $2.5K—Thunder $7.8K
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $12K—Trail Blazers $5.1K