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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankGC-PprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)82% (5501–1198, n=6699)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$141K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #538PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus85% (29 of 34 open)75% (54 of 72 open)no open consensus position50% (17 of 34 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 4271 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)6% (won 99% of 259)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 100% of 895)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)22% (won 100% of 954)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)51% (won 100% of 2163)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankGC-PprimmRN1
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $278KNo $31——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $643—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $1.5K
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $1.0K—Clippers $975
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.8KNo $25——
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $473—Over $14
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407KNo $22——
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $910—Clippers $455