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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankHVABRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)80% (619–158, n=777)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$433K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #692PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)100% (1 of 1 open)64% (109 of 169 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +6 pts n=626, ROI +8%
  • MMA +14 pts n=20, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=39, ROI 0%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%84% of 691 at avg 78¢, ROI +8%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)4% (won 13% of 31)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)8% (won 57% of 56)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)18% (won 71% of 125)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)69% (won 95% of 479)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankHVABRN1
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato
—Lisa Pigato $963Gaia Maduzzi $56