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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankHVABprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)80% (622–159, n=781)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$437K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #712PM monthly #51PM monthly #26 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)50% (1 of 2 open)0% (0 of 1 open)62% (189 of 306 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +6 pts n=626, ROI +8%
  • MMA +14 pts n=20, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=39, ROI 0%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%84% of 691 at avg 78¢, ROI +8%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)4% (won 13% of 31)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)8% (won 57% of 56)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)18% (won 71% of 125)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)69% (won 95% of 479)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankHVABprimmRN1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $64K——Yes $31K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K——No $148
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $651K——No $6.5K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2K——No $2.7K