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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | HomelessnHoeless | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 52% (136–127, n=263) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | -$94K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #597 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (35 of 40 open) | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 57% (34 of 60 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Esports ±0 pts, n=234 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 53% of 252 at avg 54¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 17% of 12) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 33% (won 42% of 84) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 47% (won 57% of 119) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 15% (won 76% of 37) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HomelessnHoeless | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Texans | Chargers $294K | — | Texans $8.5K |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Packers $143K | — | Packers $489 |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $124K | — | Seahawks $3.9K |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | Packers $104K | — | Packers $4.0K |