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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 47% (270–304, n=574) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) | 50% (20844–20530, n=41374) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$145K | $3.2M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #91 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (28 of 36 open) | 57% (17 of 30 open) | 72% (54 of 75 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 47% (won 100% of 100) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 47% (won 100% of 101) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 6% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Warriors opposite sides · consensus Warriors | Warriors $815 | Heat $57K | — | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Warriors $3.5K | Heat $15K | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $194K | Ravens $13 | — | — |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2.2K | Over $13K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $293 | Ravens $9 | — | — |