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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankbrobrobrobrobrojoseph00677S-Works
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)84% (52–10, n=62)43% (10–13, n=23)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$54K$3.3M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #840PM monthly #8PM monthly #54
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position78% (7 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%97% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI −4%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)7% (won 50% of 2)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)7% (won 100% of 2)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)28% (won 100% of 8)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)59% (won 100% of 17)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankbrobrobrobrobrojoseph00677S-Works
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
—T1 $1.3K—T1 $863K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus T1
—Bilibili Gaming $900—Bilibili Gaming $744K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $36K—Bilibili Gaming $154K