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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | buoys | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 48% (878–960, n=1838) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $99K | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #96 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (31 of 35 open) | 64% (111 of 174 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (108 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Science −10 pts, n=16 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 47% of 1664 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 41% (won 12% of 686) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 48% of 269) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 19% (won 68% of 308) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 24% (won 91% of 401) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | buoys | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1 | — | No $357 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | — | — | No $337K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $292K | — | — | Yes $11K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $76K | Yes $8.3K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | Yes $14 | — | — |