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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | classified | lava-lava | uprightuser | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (524–18, n=542) | 59% (242–170, n=412) | 51% (210–202, n=412) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $783K | $1.2M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #340 | PM monthly #108 | was PM monthly #529 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (36 of 44 open) | 70% (19 of 27 open) | 63% (38 of 60 open) | 100% (46 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | Finance −17 pts, n=11 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | 49% of 276 at avg 45¢, ROI +2% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 46% (won 4% of 152) | 34% (won 9% of 93) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 4% (won 47% of 15) | 23% (won 48% of 64) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 7% (won 78% of 23) | 20% (won 67% of 54) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 43% (won 98% of 144) | 24% (won 92% of 65) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | classified | lava-lava | uprightuser |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $31K | — | Yes $9.8K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49 | — | Yes $351 | — |