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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | e46m3 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 77% (10814–3294, n=14108) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $874K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #3 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (76 of 110 open) | 62% (81 of 130 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Politics −1 pts, n=49 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 63% of 4902 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 38% (won 20% of 1850) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 7% (won 54% of 350) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 9% (won 73% of 444) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 46% (won 98% of 2258) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | e46m3 |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $34K | No $137 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $33K | No $15 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $43K | No $8.5K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $22K | No $283 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $726 | No $27 |