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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 77% (10814–3294, n=14108) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $874K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #3 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 69% (76 of 110 open) | 62% (81 of 130 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Politics −1 pts, n=49 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 63% of 4902 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 38% (won 20% of 1850) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 7% (won 54% of 350) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 9% (won 73% of 444) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 46% (won 98% of 2258) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | e46m3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $34K | No $137 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $33K | No $15 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $43K | No $8.5K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $22K | No $283 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $726 | No $27 |