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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | e46m3 | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (549–663, n=1212) | 76% (11058–3420, n=14478) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $925K | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (25 of 38 open) | 64% (232 of 365 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (18 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Politics −1 pts, n=49 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 63% of 4902 at avg 55¢, ROI +25% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 38% (won 20% of 1850) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 7% (won 54% of 350) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 9% (won 73% of 444) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 46% (won 98% of 2258) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.2K | No $1.3K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $2.9K | No $835 | — | — |