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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankefntrickFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)48% (280–308, n=588)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$13K$3.7M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #854PM monthly #10PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensus91% (29 of 32 open)44% (4 of 9 open)76% (248 of 325 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 195 at avg 78¢, ROI +29%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)1% (won 50% of 2)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)7% (won 100% of 14)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)21% (won 100% of 41)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)71% (won 100% of 138)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankefntrickFlaznorpjoseph00677
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
—Facundo Acosta $30Thiago Seyboth Wild $7.2K—
Charlottesville: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Andres Andrade $5Aidan Mayo $936—
Nets vs. Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $37Nets $653—
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Knicks $26Knicks $10—