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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankelenaarybakin21fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)33% (1–2, n=3)100% (2–0, n=2)43% (129–174, n=303)
Consensus PnL$779K$294$245K$115K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #889PM monthly #83PM monthly #33
Sides with the consensus50% (8 of 16 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position52% (65 of 124 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%—100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)—0%6% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)—50% (won 100% of 1)42% (won 100% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)—50% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 100% of 61)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)—0%12% (won 100% of 18)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankelenaarybakin21fantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $20K——76ers $17
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Clippers $24K——Clippers $91
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $228——Celtics $3.6K
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
same side · consensus FURIA
—Legacy $1.4K—Legacy $1.2K
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
Celtics $595——Celtics $830
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $10——Celtics $304