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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | extractive-manatee | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 35% (510–968, n=1478) | 47% (14288–15920, n=30208) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $44K | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (84 of 110 open) | 53% (19 of 36 open) | 56% (20 of 36 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −1 pts, n=322 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 22% of 1570 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 71% (won 5% of 1111) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 12% (won 42% of 185) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 8% (won 64% of 130) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 9% (won 91% of 144) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | extractive-manatee | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $31K | No $182 | — | — |