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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankextractive-manatee
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)37% (673–1166, n=1839)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$48K
Tracked asPM monthly #3—
Sides with the consensus86% (24 of 28 open)52% (53 of 101 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NBA −1 pts, n=318
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%22% of 1548 at avg 21¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)71% (won 5% of 1092)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)12% (won 41% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)9% (won 63% of 132)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)9% (won 91% of 143)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankextractive-manatee
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7Yes $968