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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpPerpsKing
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11777–15355, n=27132)55% (13382–10751, n=24133)50% (4–4, n=8)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$1.4M-$229K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14was PM monthly #928
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)75% (6 of 8 open)66% (80 of 121 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%100% of 3 at avg 65¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)100% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpPerpsKing
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $141Yes $2.8K—
Counter-Strike: maybe vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-In
opposite sides · consensus maybe
—maybe $15MASONIC $9—
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel
—Cosme Rolland De Ravel $47KCosme Rolland De Ravel $6.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $12K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Borna Gojo
—Tomas Machac $9.2KTomas Machac $2.9K—