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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Jesetradingjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)70% (727–313, n=1040)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$6.7K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #952PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)56% (5 of 9 open)65% (46 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%74% of 464 at avg 68¢, ROI +6%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)20% (won 15% of 95)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)8% (won 46% of 37)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)7% (won 85% of 34)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)64% (won 95% of 298)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Jesetradingjoseph00677
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $32K—Yes $9.8K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18K—Yes $62—