Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1TSFSYD
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11761–15331, n=27092)48% (19574–21323, n=40897)29% (40–99, n=139)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.4M$14.9M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #971
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)54% (7 of 13 open)61% (17 of 28 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NBA +12 pts n=14, ROI +7%
Weakest topic———Tennis −12 pts, n=83
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%26% of 121 at avg 34¢, ROI −11%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)64% (won 3% of 78)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)13% (won 25% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)16% (won 100% of 19)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1TSFSYD
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $1.7K—
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
—Adrian Andreev $15KAdrian Andreev $2.1K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $179
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $360—
Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni
same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
—Lorenzo Carboni $26Lorenzo Carboni $356—