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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | PiEDawg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 43% (11777–15355, n=27132) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) | 29% (1635–3942, n=5577) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | -$9.5M | $4.6M | $12K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #683 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (30 of 34 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) | 100% (20 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | Economy −7 pts, n=78 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 62% of 1476 at avg 62¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 21% (won 6% of 308) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 11% (won 46% of 167) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 18% (won 61% of 267) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 50% (won 90% of 734) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | PiEDawg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $427K | — | No $351K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $308K | — | Yes $12K | — |