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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | god83743894 | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 33% (3395–6988, n=10383) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14329–15967, n=30296) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | -$34K | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #479 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (80 of 113 open) | 69% (78 of 113 open) | no open consensus position | 49% (19 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Weather −7 pts, n=4652 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 29% of 7204 at avg 34¢, ROI −5% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 68% (won 1% of 4909) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 2% (won 38% of 146) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 3% (won 54% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 27% (won 96% of 1948) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | god83743894 | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $183K | No $21 | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $18K | No $129 | — | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.3K | No $156 | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | No $268K | No $139 | — | — |