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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | god83743894 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4539–3322, n=7861) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 28% (3427–9022, n=12449) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | -$133K | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #210 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 68% (117 of 173 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Weather −7 pts, n=6486 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 25% of 9461 at avg 31¢, ROI −5% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 72% (won 0% of 6802) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 2% (won 39% of 165) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 2% (won 55% of 224) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 24% (won 96% of 2270) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | god83743894 | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | No $148 | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $46K | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $18K | No $60 | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.3K | No $154 | — |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | No $192 | — |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $868 | — | No $224 | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $64K | — | — |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $103 | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | — | No $12K | No $253 | — |