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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | god83743894 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 27% (3397–9028, n=12425) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$131K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #227 | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 71% (106 of 149 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) | 60% (84 of 141 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Weather −7 pts, n=5548 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 28% of 8247 at avg 33¢, ROI −5% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 69% (won 1% of 5687) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 2% (won 40% of 158) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 3% (won 54% of 213) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 27% (won 96% of 2189) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | god83743894 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | No $87 | — | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | Yes $8 | — | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $12K | No $425 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | No $252 | — | — |