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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 37% (1509–2541, n=4050) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 50% (19560–19625, n=39185) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $31K | $5.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #129 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 76% (110 of 145 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (100 of 143 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −3 pts, n=555 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 32% (won 1% of 760) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 4% (won 42% of 101) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 7% (won 63% of 156) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 58% (won 96% of 1382) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $16K | No $1.7K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $15K | No $260 | — | — |