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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (10–9, n=19)50% (792–780, n=1572)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$5.6M$3.0K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #1was PM monthly #789PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)no open consensus position59% (57 of 96 open)66% (98 of 149 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 100% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 100% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 100% of 83)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 100% of 201)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $87Yes $12K
Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon
opposite sides · consensus Franco Agamenone
——Franco Agamenone $2.2KIgnacio Monzon $2.6K
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympiakós SFP
——Stade Rennais FC 1901 $79Olympiakós SFP $104
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
——Daniil Medvedev $1.9KDaniil Medvedev $36K
Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Novak Djokovic
——Novak Djokovic $6.4KNovak Djokovic $14K
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
——Matej Dodig $445Matej Dodig $9.0K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $136Under $1.5K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $172No $293
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $87Yes $291
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $15Under $46