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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677Pan9Xprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)45% (10–12, n=22)65% (4155–2192, n=6347)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M$21K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #3was PM monthly #983PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus78% (28 of 36 open)no open consensus position58% (75 of 129 open)53% (10 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)4% (won 100% of 41)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)6% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 100% of 154)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)65% (won 73% of 11)26% (won 100% of 300)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 671)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677Pan9Xprimm
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837—Jaguars $26Ravens $4
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.1K—Ravens $12Ravens $510
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $16Over $65
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292K—Jaguars $301—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $3.5K—Heat $8—
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——Southern Miss $64James Madison $2.2K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $30Under $1.8K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $191Under $1.5K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
——Jaguars $38Ravens $1.2K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——UTSA $36Florida Atlantic $1.1K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $88Over $741
Spread: James Madison (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——Southern Miss $3James Madison $450
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194K—Ravens $12—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92K—Ravens $20—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $189Florida Atlantic $42K
Heat vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $815—Warriors $47—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $33Under $599
Spread: UTSA (-3.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $10Florida Atlantic $586
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $95Southern Miss $47
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 36.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $10Under $8