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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | PiEDawg | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 29% (1633–3945, n=5578) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $3.3M | $12K | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #683 | PM monthly #73 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (40 of 54 open) | no open consensus position | 84% (16 of 19 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Economy −7 pts, n=78 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 62% of 1476 at avg 62¢, ROI +5% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 21% (won 6% of 308) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 11% (won 46% of 167) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 18% (won 61% of 267) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 50% (won 90% of 734) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | PiEDawg | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $437 | No $18K |